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Sara Montes de Oca

Annual Inflation Rate Drops to 2.9% in July, Lowest Since 2021

The consumer price index, a broad-based measure tracking prices for goods and services, reported a modest increase of 0.2% in July.


This rise contributed to a 12-month inflation rate of 2.9%, marking the lowest annual rate since March 2021. When omitting volatile food and energy sectors, core CPI similarly rose by 0.2% for the month, aligning with an annual rate of 3.2%, which met economists' expectations.


Shelter costs, which surged by 0.4%, were the primary drivers of the month's inflation, accounting for 90% of the overall price increase in the index. Meanwhile, food prices also saw a slight increase of 0.2%, whereas energy prices remained unchanged.


This recent inflation data is crucial as it plays a significant role in shaping economic policies, particularly the decisions surrounding interest rates.


With inflation gradually tapering towards the central bank's target of 2%, and recent labor market reports showing potential economic slowdowns, there's a mounting anticipation that the central bank might commence interest rate cuts as soon as September.


Market reactions were mixed following the report, with a slight downturn in stock market futures and a rise in Treasury yields.


Interestingly, while some categories like automotive and medical care services experienced price declines, inflation persisted in sectors like auto insurance and rental housing, suggesting some underlying stubbornness in price adjustments across the economy.


The Federal Reserve continues to monitor these trends closely, balancing between stimulating economic growth and controlling inflation to maintain economic stability.


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